O Bitcoin sobe acima de $ 51.000 com a estagnação do dólar, mostrando sinais de um pico de curto prazo.

O índice do dólar americano (DXY) está mostrando sinais de um pico de curto prazo, já que o preço do Bitcoin ( BTC ) demonstra sinais de uma alta de curto prazo.

Há uma narrativa de que o preço do Bitcoin Era muitas vezes coincide com uma queda no valor do dólar.

Como as reservas de valor, como ouro e Bitcoin, são precificadas em relação ao dólar, teoricamente, uma tendência de baixa no DXY provavelmente teria um impacto positivo no preço do BTC.

Bitcoin retoma $ 50.000 novamente

Conforme o dólar começou a se consolidar, o Bitcoin ultrapassou os $ 50.000 em 3 de março, colocando-o no caminho certo para testar novamente o nível de resistência de $ 51.600.

Acima de $ 51.600, há pouca resistência até $ 56.000. Portanto, ultrapassar este nível é fundamental para garantir o momentum de alta no curto prazo.

Bitcoin Jack , um comerciante semipseudônimo, que previu o mínimo de $ 3.600 em março de 2020, disse:

„Considerando que é muito provável que um pacote de estímulo de $ 1,9T seja aprovado nas próximas 2 semanas, meu melhor palpite é que o dólar está chegando ao topo aqui. Pode estar errado, mas a estrutura também parece muito semelhante à consolidação anterior.“

Se o Bitcoin continuar a subir com a estagnação do dólar, isso pode permitir que o BTC se beneficie simultaneamente de dois fatores macro.

Primeiro, a queda do dólar naturalmente beneficia o Bitcoin. Em segundo lugar, o estímulo iminente de US $ 1,9 trilhão de dólares poderia servir como um catalisador para uma recuperação mais ampla do BTC, ao mesmo tempo que dilui o valor do dólar.

O Bitcoin provavelmente despencou na semana passada devido ao clima macro instável, com o dólar começando a subir e os rendimentos dos títulos subindo para uma alta anual .

Se as condições macroeconômicas foram o principal catalisador para a desaceleração do Bitcoin, agora que os rendimentos dos títulos estão diminuindo, isso poderia prejudicar o ímpeto do BTC nas próximas semanas.

Foram $ 42,9K o mínimo local?

De acordo com John Cho, o diretor de expansão global do Ground X, $ 42.900 era provavelmente o mínimo local para o Bitcoin em um futuro próximo.

Cho previu anteriormente uma desaceleração do Bitcoin de curto prazo, esperando uma queda para cerca de $ 40.000 a $ 41.000. O BTC não caiu tão baixo, mas caiu para menos de $ 43.000, quase completando uma queda de 30% de sua alta local. Cho disse :

„A partir de agora, 42,9 mil parece ter sido o fundo (local). De qualquer maneira, fico feliz que os touros estejam de volta ao controle.“

Bitcoin has had an eventful week of new peaks, ceilings, and then retracements.

The price of gold rose over the weekend, but has since returned to virtually its lowest level of last week.

DJI and SPX prices rose in February, reaching new highs, then fell back to their respective supports.

BeInCrypto examines the evolution of the prices of Bitcoin (BTC), gold and certain stocks. New analyzes are available every week on our site!

A trying week for Bitcoin

It’s been a particularly hectic week for the BTC price. Two weeks ago, Bitcoin notably crossed the $ 50,000 threshold for the first time . It then went from a daily low of $ 50,933 to a new high of $ 58,413 on Sunday, February 21.

On February 22, Bitcoin fell nearly 13% in a massive 4-hour candle, where more than 404,256 positions were liquidated . This is the biggest drop in price since Tesla bought $ 1.5 billion worth of BTC, before the price crossed the $ 42,000 mark.

Separately, on the same day, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said bitcoins are “highly speculative” and “inefficient” for transactions. Ms. Yellen even referred to the amount of energy consumed in processing BTC transactions, calling it “staggering”.

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The price of gold is bearish

While BTC has been booming since last year and until last weekend, gold has been falling since its peak of $ 2,075 per ounce reached last August.

Gold last week went from a daily low of $ 1,760 on Friday February 19 to a daily high of $ 1,860 on Tuesday February 23. It has since fallen back to what appears to be a support area, at around $ 1,770.

According to Tyler Langton, analyst at JP Morgan, there is actually support for the current price of gold. The analyst said the main sources of support lie in „real interest rates staying lower for longer and COVID-19-related stimulus measures continuing to widen central bank balance sheets.“

As Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, a foreign exchange firm, also said on January 26: “Gold is in trouble again and the near-term outlook is not very good for the metal. precious. The rise in yields as well as the current dollar jump are increasing the pressure on gold and, unless the bond markets turn around, it is difficult to see its situation improving ”.

DJI and SPX shares

This February, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) hit its all-time highs to date, especially after a low of $ 29,856 on January 29. During the first week of February, the price hit what became a support level, just below $ 31,300.

Since then, the course has been testing this medium. Last week, it rebounded between that support and resistance at around $ 31,650, before breaking the latter on February 24 to hit a new high of $ 32,009. The price has since returned to support of around $ 31,300.

Analiza cen EURUSD – 11 stycznia
Niedźwiedzie mogą popchnąć parę do poziomu wsparcia 1,21$, pod warunkiem, że utrzymają swoją presję i w przypadku, gdy poziom ten nie utrzyma się; cena może być narażona na poziom wsparcia 1,19$ i 1,18$. Trend byczy może być kontynuowany i zmierzyć się z poziomami oporu $1,22, $1,27 i $1,31 pod warunkiem, że poziom $1,21 odrzuci trend spadkowy.

Rynek EUR/USD
Poziomy kluczowe:

Poziomy oporu: $1.22, $1.27, $1.31

Poziomy wsparcia: $1,21, $1,19, $1,18

Trend długoterminowy EURUSD: Bearish

W dłuższej perspektywie czasowej EURUSD jest niedźwiedziutki. Trend byczy popycha parę walutową do przełamania wcześniejszych poziomów oporu, takich jak $1,18, $1,19 i $1,21. Para walutowa w dniu 07 stycznia znalazła opór na poziomie $1,24. Pojawiła się niedźwiedzia świeca pochłaniająca; jest to niedźwiedzia świeca odwracająca, która zepchnęła cenę poniżej poziomu wsparcia wynoszącego 1,22$. Wspomniany właśnie poziom wsparcia nie mógł utrzymać ceny, co oznacza, że jest ona słabsza niż presja niedźwiedzi w tym momencie. Sprzedający korzystają z okazji, aby zyskać większą siłę i zepchnąć w dół cenę docelową do poziomu wsparcia 1,21$.

Cena spadła poniżej 21 okresów EMA i 50 okresów EMA, co wskazuje na wzrost dynamiki Bears’a. Niedźwiedzie mogą popchnąć parę do poziomu wsparcia 1,21$, pod warunkiem, że utrzymają swoją presję i w przypadku, gdy poziom ten nie utrzyma się; cena może być narażona na poziom wsparcia 1,19$ i 1,18$. Trend byczy może być kontynuowany i zmierzyć się z poziomami oporu $1,22, $1,27 i $1,31 pod warunkiem, że poziom $1,21 odrzuci trend spadkowy.

Średnioterminowy trend EURUSD: Bykowy

W perspektywie średnioterminowej EURUSD jest niedźwiedziutki. Wzrost cen został przerwany przez niedźwiedzie zanim osiągnął on poziom oporu 1,24 USD. Cena odwróciła się i przenika dwa EMA w dół, przełamuje poziom wsparcia 1,22 USD, a cena spada do poziomu 1,21 USD.

Cena jest notowana poniżej 9 okresów EMA i 21 okresów EMA, co wskazuje, że niedźwiedzie zdobywają przewagę na rynku EURUSD. Okres 14 Indeksu Względnej Siły jest poniżej 40 poziomów z linią sygnałową skierowaną w dół, wskazującą na sprzedaż.

Een beroemde Russische bitcoin-criticus, Anatoly Aksakov, van de Doema, zei dat wereldwijde jurisdicties bitcoin als betaalmiddel moeten verbieden.

Het lid van de Doema herhaalde zijn negatieve houding ten opzichte van Bitcoin, nadat de crypto er op 14 januari in geslaagd was het niveau van $40.000 kortstondig opnieuw te testen.

Tijdens een gesprek met het lokale persbureau TASS zei Aksakov dat BTC niet wordt gesteund door iets tastbaars. Daarom is hij ervan overtuigd dat de bitcoin-zeepbel binnenkort zal barsten:

„Bitcoin wordt niet gesteund door iets als een cryptocurrency. Dit is een privévaluta, en de waarde ervan is gebaseerd op het vertrouwen van het bijbehorende datasysteem. In deze context biedt Bitcoin een basis voor een zeepbel op de crypto-markt, en ik denk dat deze zeepbel vroeg of laat zou moeten barsten“.

Aksakov drong er ook bij de autoriteiten op aan om strenge regels voor bitcoin uit te vaardigen en zei dat wereldwijde jurisdicties de crypto als betaalmethode moeten verbieden.

Rusland verbood crypto-betalingen vanaf 1 januari 2021. De bitcoin-criticus voegde daar nog aan toe:

„Het is noodzakelijk om alle kanalen af te snijden voor het gebruik van Bitcoin voor de financiering van drugshandel, terroristische operaties, het witwassen van geld, corruptieregelingen, enzovoort. Bitcoin is de moeder van de blokketen. Blokketentechnologie bestaat al heel lang, maar dankzij Bitcoin werd het populair en wordt het nu op grote schaal gebruikt“.

Het Russische Doema-lid is niet de enige die denkt dat BTC een zeepbel is. De belangrijkste investeringsstrateeg van Bank of America Securities, Michael Hartnett, stelde dat Bitcoin begin januari 2021 „de moeder van alle bubbels“ lijkt te zijn.

Op basis van eerdere rapporten kwam Aksakov naar voren als een van de belangrijkste bitcoin-critici van 2020. Hij heeft er vertrouwen in dat bitcoin geen toekomst heeft en dat cryptocentrische betalingen het wereldwijde financiële systeem zouden vernietigen.

Nadat de bitcoin eerder deze maand naar $42.000 was gestegen, uitten veel wereldwijde autoriteiten kritiek op ’s werelds grootste crypto. Christine Lagarde, de president van de Europese Centrale Bank, zei op 13 januari dat BTC een ‚funny business‘ is en een ‚highly speculative asset‘ die bijdraagt aan het witwassen van geld.

A BCH ainda tem um longo caminho a percorrer se for para estabelecer um novo recorde histórico.

A Altseason está aqui! Impulsionado pelos ganhos do tio pródigo Bitcoin, o Bitcoin Cash aumentou mais de 30% nas últimas 24 horas, o que, em sua alta, levou-o a um preço de pouco mais de US$ 627 nas primeiras horas da manhã (UTC).

Isso ainda é um pouco fora de seu antigo recorde de 4.355,62 dólares, estabelecido em 20 de dezembro de 2017, mas, como seu homônimo Bitcoin SV, o Bitcoin Cash é um dos muitos altcoins que se beneficiam da histórica corrida de touros da Bitcoin.

A Bitcoin Cash surgiu em 2017, quando os desenvolvedores responderam às chamadas para modificar o formato de transação da Bitcoin para lidar com a taxa crescente de transações. Como alguns dos desenvolvedores da Bitcoin se mobilizaram atrás da Bitcoin Improvement Proposal número BIP141 (SegWit), outro grupo de ativistas, investidores, desenvolvedores e principalmente mineiros chineses se mobilizaram atrás de uma proposta diferente: aumentar o tamanho do bloco Bitcoin de 1 MB para 8MB.

Em agosto de 2017, o garfo duro levou ao estabelecimento de duas moedas com o nome Bitcoin. Bitcoin (BTC) e Bitcoin Cash (BCH).

Mais de um ano depois, após uma votação em rede aumentou o tamanho do bloco da Bitcoin Cash de 8MB para 32MB, ela mais uma vez foi dividida pelo facciosismo. Em 15 de novembro de 2018, outro garfo duro foi anunciado, liderado pelos desenvolvedores Jihan Wu e Roger Ver, que lançaram o software Bitcoin ABC (Adjustable Blocksize Cap).

O segundo acampamento, liderado pelo cientista australiano Craig Wright, um homem que afirma ser o inventor do Bitcoin ‚Satoshi Nakamoto‘, embora estas afirmações sejam altamente disputadas, propôs o software alternativo Bitcoin SV (Satoshi’s Vision). Este se tornou a cadeia de bloqueio que alimenta a BSV.

The Bitcoin price not only hit a new all-time high of over USD 26,000, but also cracked the psychologically important mark of USD 25,000. Even on the otherwise rather quiet public holidays, where there is little trading, the BitQT scam price can no longer stop. Why the pressure to the north is currently so high.

In the morning hours of Boxing Day, the time had come. For just a few seconds, the Bitcoin price briefly touched the $ 25,000 mark. During the course of the day, the price rose significantly and is now at $ 26,447 at the time of going to press . An impressive plus if you consider that the price was still hovering around 18,000 US dollars at the beginning of December. In the second half of December, the Bitcoin price started again for the final Christmas rally, as the chart shows:

Pressure from institutional investors continues

As already explained many times , the Bitcoin rally in the last quarter of 2020 is primarily due to institutional investors. So it is not primarily private individuals‘ money that is entering the market, but that of companies, hedge funds, fund companies, etc.

As in the traditional financial sector, these professional players determine how the courses develop. So not only the Nasdaq Group MicroStrategy for another 650 million US dollars Bitcoin bought as CEO Michael Saylor on December 21 via Twitter announced , but also more traditional investment houses.

For example, the American insurance company MassMutual should be mentioned here, which recently acquired Bitcoin for 100 million US dollars, as well as the Guggenheim hedge fund , which invests up to 10 percent of its five billion fund in BTC. New major investors are added almost every day, buying Bitcoin, but also other cryptocurrencies, in the double or triple-digit million range. This trend is then reinforced by private investors, who are also jumping back on the crypto bandwagon.

Bitcoin course: what’s next

It is no secret that many more institutional investors will push into the crypto market in 2021. Since the market capitalization of the crypto market is still small compared to other asset classes, these capital inflows should continue to provide support for cryptocurrencies.

The growth of traditional securities securitisations is particularly interesting here. These also enable investors without a wallet and the willingness to hold tokens to get into Bitcoin and Co. In the past few weeks, a number of new “Bitcoin securities” such as Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) have been issued. The classic securities account is sufficient to participate in the Bitcoin price. This, too, should be seen as a positive sign at both private and institutional level.

2021: These trends are on the agenda

Bitcoin has sent a clear signal with the year-end rally: The crypto currency, which was once only attributed to geeks and nerds, has grown up and is finding its way into the institutional sector with broad mass acceptance. But what are the topics that are on the agenda in addition to the pure Bitcoin price development in 2021? What underpins the latest price rally and what hurdles are there for Bitcoin and the crypto sector to overcome? Which crypto and blockchain trends (also apart from Bitcoin) will determine the year 2021? We have summarized the top trends for 2021 in the current December issue of Kryptokompass Magazine .

BTC-ECHO readers had the right nose

Our screenshot of the Opinary survey that was posted on our site over a week ago proves that our readers have a good feel for the course. There we asked if the Bitcoin rate would rise to over 25,000 US dollars this year. Of the more than 8,500 participants, 76 percent answered YES and were thus right. The expectations were even significantly exceeded with currently> 26,000 USD per Bitcoin.